I’ve often been asked by clients how I invest my own money. This often led me to ponder; how would an active fund manager answer the same question?
Market timing is one of the most alluring notions for investors. The rewards are high for those who can ‘read the tea leaves’ and get the timing right.
In the field of investment management facts and fantasy abound and it is often hard to distinguish between the two. As in many walks of life, we often hear of the successes that professional money managers achieve…
We welcome Jamie Wickham with open arms, and we are excited about the wealth of experience and insights he brings to the firm.
When students score top marks, they tend to put it down to their own intelligence or hard work. When they mess up, they might blame the teacher for not explaining the course material better, or the exam board for setting such difficult questions. This is a classic example of what [Read More]
The key thing to understand about buying individual stocks is that the vast majority are duds. Research has shown that, in the long run, only around four per cent of US stocks outperform Treasury Bills.
For most of the quarter volatility stayed low and equity markets around the world defied interest rate increases and kept climbing upwards. But towards the end of the quarter it became apparent that inflation would remain sticky
For as long as we can remember, investors, the media and most retirees have misunderstood the concepts of income and cashflow. This may seem like semantics, but the distinction is important – especially for investors who partly, or wholly fund their lives from regular cash drawings from their portfolios. Investors [Read More]
It is remarkable how often the names on the rich list change. I often wonder why this is so. Once a fortune has been made, retaining it, and growing it modestly through generations, should be a straightforward affair – with the right advice.
What is overconfidence bias? Constantinos Antoniou from Warwick Business School explains.
An eerie calm has fallen over markets in recent weeks, as the banking stresses of early March fade into the background. Market measures of risk, such as volatility, have retreated, while global equity markets have rebounded strongly, buoyed by a resurgence in technology stocks.
Most of us have no choice but to invest, at least a portion of our wealth, in equities. To fund the lifestyles we aspire to, and to ensure we have enough money to last us for the rest of our lives, we need to take that risk.
Author and fund manager Glen Arnold says there are two main drawbacks with consuming financial media. The first problem is that it encourages investors to focus too much on how their portfolio is performing.
With term deposit rates up around 4.5% or higher, it’s reasonable to that investors may question the role of a bond fund in their portfolio. Given that bond funds had their worst return on record in 2022, and term deposits are effectively a risk-free investment paying a guaranteed return, why [Read More]
A portfolio that includes a diversified exposure to international shares that is linked to market cap weights will include stocks before, during and after they have their winning streak. That is your best bet for a successful investment journey.
To what extent is short-term outperformance down to manager skill? The manager, of course, is likely to say it is down to skill. Similarly, when a manager underperforms, they will often blame bad luck.
Global stocks and bonds staged a sharp recovery in the first quarter as signs that inflation is moderating encouraged hopes that central banks will soon begin to wind down their year-long cycle of tightening monetary policy.
This quarter has been dominated by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the ensuing banking crisis, set against a background of cooling inflation, continuing rate hikes, and the prospect of global recession in 2023. Throughout the quarter the prevailing market mood has switched from “hard landing ahead” in the [Read More]
Volatility has struck financial markets as several banks in the US and Europe collapse and require Governments and regulators to step in to protect depositors. If there is another GFC brewing, are Australian banks at risk? The short answer is “no”.
“The most important quality for an investor is temperament, not intellect.” That quote from the legendary investor Warren Buffett refers to a human tendency among investors to let their own biases and impulses distract them from investing cautiously.
There’s a great deal of evidence to show that people’s attitude towards money starts to develop very early in life. So what can parents can do to help instil good habits in their children?
December brought to an end the toughest year for global financial markets since the financial crisis of 2008 amid resurgent inflation, rising interest rates and the shock to commodity markets from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Nobody likes to the see the value of their portfolio fall, but bear markets are inevitable. In fact, it’s those bear markets that are the very reason why we can expect an investment return in the first place.
Most of us would like to live a long and healthy life. After all, there’s no point in working hard and investing for decades if your retirement only lasts a few years.
Carl Richards is a former adviser and an expert on spending habits. His advice is to prioritise spending on time spent with loved ones.
Investors often worry, that when a recession is officially announced, markets will respond negatively. In truth, this is rarely the case. The key thing to understand here is that markets are forward-looking.
Despite reassurances from the RBA at end of 2021 that interest rates would not go up until 2024 (!!!) the equity and bond markets really didn’t believe that, and prices started tumbling right from the start of the year.
Since the 1st of October the ASX 200 is up some 13%, meaning that year to date the Australian market is now in positive territory – certainly not what most investors would have thought after the volatility in markets this year.
As Christmas approaches, more and more people seem to be asking what is in store next year, in terms of interest rates. For those with mortgages, and perhaps fixed rate mortgages that are about to roll off, the need for clarity is acute.
Rapidly rising interest rates have had a profound effect on asset markets this year. Perhaps nowhere has this been more pronounced than in the technology sector.
There are signs that global bond markets could be bottoming out and are ready to come back and play their traditional role as a defensive part of a portfolio.
In times of uncertainty, people look to financial advisers for answers on things they just aren’t qualified to comment on. Will markets fall further? Will there be a global recession? What will the Reserve Bank of Australia decide to do about interest rates at its next meeting? Will China invade Taiwan? [Read More]
The investor’s worst enemy, it’s been said, is likely to be himself. Regardless of whether they invest actively or passively, investors often harm their portfolios through the way they behave.
As with all industries, participants in the investment industry look to sell themselves, by advertising their own ‘secret formula’. Yet, given the complexity of financial markets and economics, these participants can use ‘poetic license’ more than most.
One of the most common misconceptions about investing is that the economy and the stock market are perfectly correlated. Yes, they are connected, but it’s not that simple. Peter Westaway is a Chief Economist at Vanguard Asset Management.
Eddie’s a longstanding friend of mine. I’ve always admired his positivity and the almost effortless way he seems to glide through life. He’s also very intelligent: he knows what he wants and usually gets it. But when I saw him at a party the other night, Eddie seemed strangely out [Read More]
One story has dominated the economic news in 2022 — inflation. Around the world, prices have risen faster than forecasters were expecting, because of knock-on effects from the Covid-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine and strong consumer demand. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the annual inflation rate reached 6.8% in [Read More]
Global stocks were mixed, while bonds fell for a third consecutive quarter to 30 September. Dominating headlines was inflation news, central bank action to rein it in, a rising US dollar, and worries about economic growth. Sentiment shifted during the quarter. A nascent recovery in risk appetites from July to [Read More]
Most investors can ‘feel’ that 2022 has been a miserable year. Australian shares, as measured by the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index are down around -7% year to date . US shares have fared even worse, with the S&P 500 Index down -22%. Whilst this is a poor return, negative returns like [Read More]
It’s hard to think of a profession that’s as misunderstood by the public as financial planning. If you ask people, “What does a financial planner do?”, the answer is likely to have something to do with investing or the markets. It might be “They advise which stocks or funds to [Read More]
Financial planning is widely misunderstood. This should come as no surprise. The media regularly tells us financial planners are just commission hungry salespeople looking to sell financial products. But what should financial planning be? And how do you get the best value from your financial planner? Fortunately, there are some [Read More]
We’re often hearing in the media about emerging industries that seem to offer exciting opportunities for investors. Right now, for instance, there’s plenty of discussion around driverless cars and 3D printing.
David Pitt-Watson is a fund industry insider. I’ve been to meet him and started by asking him the for the single most important piece of advice he’d give to ordinary investors.
Keeping the economy moving forward while raising interest rates will be a narrow road and require careful navigation by central banks.
This week’s special episode covers money issues for Australians abroad or anyone who has international investment queries. Financial adviser, Dr Doug Turek of Minchin Moore, joins James Kirby to discuss how to manage your Super if moving overseas, checking out the Bali tax break – living there and paying no Australian Tax… and receiving an inheritance from another country? Watch for tax treaties.
Known Unknowns. Bond vs Stock Performance, which will do better in the next 12 months?
As client interest in Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) investing continues to grow and become more nuanced, the terrain between helping clients meet their financial objectives whilst also understanding their personal values is becoming clearer.
Mark Minchin, Managing Partner Minchin Moore One of the ironies of investing is that although it’s actually very simple — or at least it should be simple — that doesn’t mean it’s always easy. In fact, there are times when our discipline as investors can be sorely tested. The last few months, [Read More]
Both global bonds and equities fell heavily in an eventful June quarter in which headlines were dominated by the ongoing war in Ukraine, rising inflation and efforts by authorities to unwind pandemic-era monetary stimulus.
Andrew Marchant, Chief Investment Officer, Minchin Moore Every bear market, the same story gets trotted out. It’s one that says while index funds may give you an easy ride up in the good times, they accelerate the pain in the bad and that the only way to avoid this is [Read More]
When markets soar, the reflexive nucleus accumbens fires up at the back of the brain’s frontal lobe, and we instinctively want to buy. When markets fall, the amygdala floods our bloodstream with corticosterone, fear kicks in, and we’re overwhelmed by the urge to sell.
The themes for the June quarter are inflation, inflation, and inflation… The ASX defied gravity in the first quarter, but we have managed to catch up with the rest of the world this quarter.
Aside from cash, good quality investment grade bonds are generally the most stable and defensive component of an investor’s portfolio. Yet over the last 12 months have bonds have fallen in value by around 10%.
Investors around the world have realized that fighting inflation is going to be painful—which in turn has caused turmoil in the markets. Since the start of the year the Australian market is down 12% – but that’s good relative to other markets.
We generally encourage our clients not to follow the ebb and flow of the global stock markets. But every now and then, you can’t easily avoid it, and we’re at one of those moments now. Share prices, and specifically price falls, are once again front-page news. So, what’s going on? And what, if anything, can investors do about it?
Stock market volatility can be very uncomfortable for investors. It can also lead us to make irrational decisions. But learning to live with turbulent markets is a crucial component of successful investing. Listen to investment journalist Moira O’Neill.
It’s likely to take many years yet for the financial advice profession to regain the trust of the Australian public after the damning findings of the Hayne Royal Commission. The good news, says ROBIN POWELL, is that it finally seems to be turning the corner. But, he warns, you still need to be very cautious when choosing which firm to work with.
Dr Steve Garth, Independent member of the Minchin Moore investment committee, Principal at Principia Investment Consultants Rampant inflation, rising interest rates, a war in Ukraine, Covid in China, and falling bond and stock prices… It’s a very volatile time in markets and investors have every reason to be unsettled by [Read More]
A new book by Andrew Hallam suggests we take some time to reflect on what true wealth is all about. The key, he says, is to find a healthy balance, and to work out what sort of purchases make the biggest contribution to our happiness and wellbeing.
The story of a woman who stole some $30 million from friends and family while posing as a financial planner and then mysteriously disappeared is the subject of Australia’s most popular podcast. It is also an object lesson in what investors should look out for in spotting a fraud.
Professor Richard Taffler from the University of Warwick is an expert on this subject. He says traders and investors typically exhibit behavioural characteristics more commonly associated with gamblers.
With Australians due to go to the polls on 21st May, that old saying about never bringing up politics at the dinner table perhaps needs to be revisited and extended to not letting how you vote interfere with how you invest. The Australian election pits a centre-right Liberal-National Coalition government, [Read More]
It is with great pleasure that I announce the merger of Minchin Moore with Melbourne firm, Professional Wealth.
Global equity markets in the March quarter posted their worst quarterly performance since the onset of pandemic two years ago, while the global bond market notched up its worst performance in at least three decades.
Rapidly rising inflation is scary for those who haven’t experienced it — and that’s everyone under the age of around 50. It’s arguably even scarier for those who have. One client’s abiding memory of runaway prices in the 1970s was seeing the advertised price of fuel at their local petrol [Read More]
Michael Kitces is a well-renowned authority on this subject. He says that it’s important to realise that the role of an adviser, or financial planner as he prefers to call them, has changed considerably over the years.
Most investors base their decision on which actively managed fund to invest in on past performance. However they fail to appreciate the extent to which volatility skews returns. They assume that managers who’ve performed well were skilful, when in fact they outperformed simply because they took on more risk.
When faced with the truths about how many stock brokers or active fund managers actually outperform the market indexes, it is hard to understand why so many investors chose to invest through these mediums.
With the Ukraine crisis unfolding, markets are gyrating as, each day, they try to incorporate the new news and expectations into stock, commodity and bond prices. In this environment, as markets wobble, its easy to feel anxious, and feel like you need to do “something”. And yet, paradoxically, sometimes the best thing to do is nothing at all.
Drought, fire, pandemic, floods, war and now the premature death of an Australian sporting icon. What’s next? Shane Warne was a flawed individual who polarised opinion. But in this edition of Insights, financial journalist author Robin Powell, explores some of the more positive aspects of his character and suggests there are important [Read More]
Current events in Ukraine are having direct impacts on global markets. Russia and Ukraine are suppliers of raw materials, food an energy – essential for many supply chains.
The years 2020 and 2021 were not “normal years”. Both years humbled forecasters, virtually none of whom accurately predicted either the downturn or the recovery. Now, two years on, with the pandemic still raging, forecasters seem more reluctant to make bold predictions for 2022. So, what do we have in store [Read More]
Global Markets Summary Global developed market stocks posted their sixth straight quarter of gains in the third quarter, with many indices hitting record highs in August before easing off in September. Currency movements made a significant impact, with a broadly weaker Australian dollar helping unhedged Australian investors with offshore equity [Read More]
Weston Wellington Vice President, Dimensional Fund Advisers KEY TAKEAWAYS Financial journalists periodically stoke investors’ record-high anxiety by suggesting the laws of physics apply to financial markets—that what goes up must come down. But shares are not heavy objects kept aloft through strenuous effort. They are perpetual claim tickets on companies’ [Read More]
Global equity markets rose for a fifth consecutive quarter in the three months to 30 June, reaching record highs and continuing their rapid recovery from the pandemic shock of the first quarter of 2020.
Global equity markets posted a strong start to 2021, with global indices approaching record highs and many individual markets approaching or surpassing pre-pandemic records.
Dominating headlines were growing signs of global economic recovery amid a fast-tracking of vaccine rollouts and the passing of a US$1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus package by the incoming Biden administration.
Global Markets Summary An extraordinary year in global markets ended on a positive note in an eventful fourth quarter, with equities registering very strong gains, led by small cap and value stocks, while a strong credit premium boosted bonds. The final quarter was dominated again in the news by developments [Read More]
Some sentiments doing the rounds right now: The 4% rule (consuming 4% of your portfolio value each year) will never work anymore because bond yields are so low. Tech stocks are going to see a spectacular crash. The stock market is running on borrowed time. Valuations can’t go up forever. [Read More]
From the beginning, our strategy has been to build an independent, professional advice business, unlike anything that existed before. A business free from the conflicts of interest that have plagued our industry for decades. A business that puts its clients first and strives to deliver the highest standards of advice. [Read More]
The dramatic turnaround in global equity markets from the coronavirus-induced slump in March continued in the September quarter, although prices fell back in the final month of the quarter after global benchmarks hit record highs. News headlines in the quarter were dominated on the one hand by hopes of a global [Read More]
“The most fundamental problem of politics is not the control of wickedness but the limitation of righteousness” Henry Kissinger Regardless of political creed or levels of interest, the one thing we can safely agree on is that the Trump presidency hasn’t been boring. Comparisons with the 2016 presidential race are [Read More]
In an environment of diminishing income returns a different approach to funding cashflow is required. This approach seeks to take advantage of the diversification benefits and growth potential from lower yielding assets and adopting a ‘total return’ mindset.
Since I last wrote in this column on 31 March there has been tremendous change. The way we live, the way we work, the way we engage with each other and the way we think about the future. Some of the change has been good, much of it terrible, and there is plenty that we’re still not sure about.
To make sense of this seemingly impossible dichotomy of rising markets and deteriorating fundamentals, we need to look more deeply into the stock market’s composition.
Any rational assessment of current market prices needs to factor in the huge increase in the money supply that has been spawned by global governments’ ‘whatever-it-takes’ intervention to support markets, businesses, and workers.
Perhaps the most common misconceptions about the share market is that it is directly linked to a nation’s economy. This is simply not the case. History shows time and again that markets can perform well when the economy is slowing and vice versa.
Whilst still far from a certainty, we sense the odds of a vaccine being developed appear to be shortening. Researchers around the World are racing to develop a vaccine with more than 140 candidate vaccines now being tracked by the World Health Organisation (WHO).
For investors, the real danger of crises such as this one is the possibility of suffering a permanent loss of capital. For the most part, this eventuality typically stems from one of four (mostly avoidable) strategies. Let’s have a look at each of these in turn: Exposed or Leveraged Stocks: [Read More]
The one thing we know with certainty with bear markets is that they will eventually end. The problem of course is working out when. In market speak, “capitulation” is the point where everybody has had enough, when investors can take no more pain, the bears have sold everything they had [Read More]
Coronavirus is affecting the global economy to a greater degree than any previous event. Global supply chains are so interwoven that the initial disruption in China triggered a meaningful slowdown in World trade and economic activity. Since then, the virus has spread to all the major economies of the World and [Read More]
Share markets are breaking records daily right now. With all the uncertainty, and extreme volatility, many investors are asking themselves if they should sell their shares now, with a view to buying them back later when there are signs that things are returning to normal. In this edition of Insight, we provide investors with a framework through which to answer this question.
In this edition of Insights we look at what’s really behind the volatility and give investors a sense of how their diversified portfolios have been travelling through this roller coaster period.
As most readers will know, Coronavirus (now known as COVID-19) started in the Wuhan province in China. Prima facie, you could be forgiven for believing that the virus isn’t remarkable. Most people who get the virus only suffer relatively mild “cold and flu like” symptoms and then they get better. [Read More]
SMSFs have long liked listed investment companies. But given the trend for them to trade below their net tangible asset value, there may be better options. Read the full article on the Financial Review website here.
Mark Minchin was recently asked to join an expert panel to talk about managing risk at the LiveX (Australian livestock exporters) conference in Townsville. Risk Tolerance Behavioural Finance Sustainability
Whilst investors are right to consider global events and their implications, there is much more to the picture that should be considered if we are to be truly objective about managing risk. Whilst investing has risks, not investing also has risks. However as human beings we have been programmed to [Read More]
While the transfer balance cap is top of mind for most people, getting more into your retirement fund hinges on being across another important benchmark. Read More
With the Australian share market near record highs, some people may feel reluctant to invest and prefer instead to wait until the outlook feels more certain. However the difficulty with this strategy is that there is generally an opportunity cost of not being invested, and no one has come up [Read More]
Attempting to buy individual stocks or make tactical asset allocation changes at exactly the “right” time presents investors with substantial challenges. Buyers and sellers in markets are generally motivated to trade by some sort news or analysis – be it economic data, stock research, or their own hunch or preference. In [Read More]
While those with mortgages were celebrating another interest rate cut, self-managed superannuation fund (SMSF) retirees are now staring down the barrel of cash rates below the rate of inflation. Read more
With the election only a few days away, many of our clients have expressed confusion about the potential impact of a Shorten Labor Government. We’ve taken the time to explain some of Labor’s key tax reform proposals; identifying who will be the winners and losers, plus some of the potentially [Read More]
Charlie Perkins and ABC’s Kristy Reading talk Brexit, Trump and the local elections together with tax implications.
Charlie Perkins and ABC’s Kristy Reading talk ‘Bounceback’, as well as the RBA changing tack, Trump, and the oscillation of markets. Bounceback RBA changes tack Trump’s war on two fronts Oscillation of markets
Charlie Perkins and ABC’s Kristy Reading give a ‘market wrap’ for 2018, talk Trump, as well as Australian 2019 elections. Market Wrap 2018 Trump’s war on two fronts Australian 2019 elections
Charlie Perkins and ABC’s Kristy Reading talk global volatility, odds of a Santa Rally, Sydney property reality check and likely pain for Trump.
Charlie Perkins and ABC’s Kristy Reading talk stock market corrections, US mid-terms, bond pricing and Sydney property.
We are pleased to announce the opening of our new offices in the Sydney CBD – Suite 2.14, 165-167 Phillip Street. This new location represents our fourth office, with existing offices in Mosman, Orange, Walcha, and now the Sydney CBD. Featuring state-of-the-art facilities, the new location in the Sydney CBD [Read More]
Last month saw the ten-year anniversary of the Lehman collapse come and go. This is notable, as the collapse of Lehman was the tipping point of the financial crisis of 2008 and heralded a new economic era. An era where interest rates in the Western World would remain close to [Read More]
Even before an interim report has been issued by Commissioner Hayne, major changes to the financial planning landscape are already being announced. Three of the four major players (ANZ, CBA and NAB) have initiated (or in ANZ’s case completed) the spin out of their financial products businesses to create (in [Read More]
When the major superannuation changes came into law in 2017, most of the focus was on the $1.6M transfer balance cap for pension members. However, one significant change that may not necessarily hurt too many people on the cusp of retirement but will affect younger “wealth accumulators”, is the reduction [Read More]
Have you ever gone out on a limb and bought a stock on the share market based on a friend or colleague’s advice? Or maybe you heard something and followed up with some homework of your own prior to parting with your hard-earned cash in exchange for some shares in [Read More]
Charlie Perkins and ABC’s Brooke Daniels talk ten year stock market highs, diversification 101, and the perils of reaching for yield.
Charlie Perkins and ABC’s Kristy Reading explore some additional insights from the Banking Royal Commission as well as some likely outcomes.
Charlie Perkins gives ABC’s Kristy Reading some initial thoughts about the Banking Royal Commission.
The fundamental structure of the advice industry in Australia has been flawed, pretty much since its inception. The dishonest advice practices that are being uncovered daily by the Royal Commission are entirely the product of a deeply flawed industry structure. Over half of financial planners today are employed or licensed [Read More]
Charlie Perkins talks with ABC’s Kristy Reading about the likelihood of a global trade war, and whether the Fed is behind the curve.
Charlie Perkins talks with ABC’s Nick Lowther about Trump’s tariffs and volatility’s return to normalcy.
Charlie Perkins talks with ABC’s Julie Clift about local and international stock market performances in 2017, and takes down Bitcoin.
We are proud to announce that Mark Minchin has been selected to the Financial Standard Power 50 list of Australia’s most influential advisers. Financial Standard has conducted the search for the FS Power50 once again in 2018, revealing the 50 most influential financial advisers in Australia. This list is made [Read More]
Charlie Perkins talks with ABC’s Melanie Pearce about the perils of the 24h newscycle and the deep-seated human urge to predict the future.
Selecting and buying individual stocks offers both the hope of great returns (you might find the next CSL or Apple) and the potential for disastrous results (ending up with Babcock and Brown or Centro Properties Group). In this white paper, Mark looks at the odds of success investors face when attempting [Read More]
Charlie Perkins talks with ABC’s Julie Clift on ignoring Trump, the ‘conscious bull’ market and the folly of predicting short-term market moves.
Story by Bridget Carter. Published in The Deal by The Australian, in association with Barron’s. July 21st, 2017. Read the article as it was published in print by downloading it via this link, or read below for the excerpt about Mark. Mark Minchin was working in the private wealth [Read More]
Charlie Perkins talk international markets with ABC’s Julie Clift and gives a mid-year assessment of the local conditions together with a reminder on the importance of practicing disciplined diversification.
Charlie Perkins talks with ABC’s Julie Clift about the odds of a potential Trump impeachment together with the definition of and mechanics of an impeachment.
The Oscar debacle, Trump inflation and the French election – Charlie Perkins talks to ABC radio. Charlie Perkins talk Trumponomics with ABC’s Julie Clift and dives into the French election as it stands today.
Charlie Perkins recaps 2016’s “Year of Upsets” with ABC’s Julie Clift and discusses the Trump presidency’s likely effect on financial markets.
At first glance the Trump victory seems completely bizarre. Here is a man who doesn’t pay his taxes, apparently hates Mexicans, disrespects women, routinely engages in sexual harassment, and is widely viewed as a narcissist…… And then, 81% of Evangelicals, 53% of white women, vote for Trump. How is this [Read More]
Charlie Perkins talks with ABC’s Julie Clift about the US election and its impact on global markets, as well as the likely direction of interest rates in the US and Australia
Most of the people who come to us for advice consider themselves investors, not speculators. The difference is of course open to interpretation and worth exploring. The dictionary defines speculation as “the forming of a theory or conjecture without firm evidence”. Sound familiar? This is indeed how many investors commonly [Read More]
I could be on shaky ground from the outset with an article with a title like this. After all, Minchin Moore is an advice business whose clients rely on us to ensure they don’t pay too much tax. And that’s precisely what we do, we optimally structure their affairs for [Read More]
Since the Federal Budget on 3 May 2016, many superannuation strategies have carried a significant element of uncertainty. As you may have heard last week, the Government has announced some significant changes to the superannuation proposals previously announced on Budget night. It’s important to be aware that we still don’t [Read More]
Charlie Perkins talks with ABC’s Julie Clift about recent Australian elections, Trump, Brexit and the global rise of populism. Originally aired on 19/07/2016.
We must confess we hadn’t planned to write about the UK. Like most, we had expected that sanity would prevail at the 11th hour given countries rarely commit economic suicide. However as at Saturday afternoon the “Brexit” vote has won the day, Cameron has resigned, and most of the World (including the [Read More]
In the realm of politics, short-termism is a constant. To start with our terms of government are too short, and our politicians seem to increasingly make decisions based on current polling. Surely their elected role is to broadly consider the best long term strategic options for the country and then [Read More]
Charlie Perkins talks with ABC’s Julie Clift about proposed superannuation legislation announced in the recent Budget. They also take a quick spin around the globe to discuss impending elections, the US federal reserve and the state of play in China. Originally aired 24/05/2016
Charlie Perkins talks key economic drivers within the US and European economies with ABC’s Julie Clift. They also cover both the rise of Chinese militancy and some recent movers on the ASX. Originally aired 26/04/2016
At Minchin Moore we take the novel approach of focussing our time and attention on the things we can actually control, whilst remaining cognisant of the things that we can’t. Some key elements here are: Questions we can’t confidently answer (the ridiculous list): Will markets go up or down? Is [Read More]
This response to the posed question “What will the stock market do?” is generally attributed to either J.P Morgan or J.D Rockefeller. Who actually said it, and to whom, is of little import. Far more usefully, it is an axiom that one should keep in mind during periods of enhanced [Read More]
Many people don’t appreciate it, but an entire industry is built around getting you to trade stocks. The earnings season just provides another trigger for people to click the ticket on your activity. This short video describes the benefits of doing nothing, beyond your regular rebalancing.
A lot has been made about the potential for a “bond bubble” following several successive years of interest rate falls and with interest rates now at historic lows virtually all around the world. Even though rates are down again this year, investors have been worried for some years about what may happen when rates do [Read More]
A burning question many retirees have when they cease work and start drawing down on their retirement capital is: “How much can I safely draw each year while ensuring that my retirement capital won’t run out before I do?” In March 2014 Finsia published the first Australian study into exactly [Read More]
What feels safe is often risky, and what feels risky is often safe. This statement contradicts just about every evolutionary instinct we possess. We tend to seek out safety and avoid risk whenever possible. A classic example has to be the instinct that (still) tells us we are safer staying [Read More]
In the fields of observation, fortune favours the prepared mind. L Pasteur 1854. Last month we talked of endgames – how the complexity of positions and factors can make it difficult to know when it has started. Being more of a feeling than a definition, it is thus more of [Read More]
In Australia, like in other young countries such as Canada and New Zealand, we have had a long love affair with equities. Indeed, Australia has had one of the best performing stock markets in the World over the past hundred years. This has led us to be equities centric, and [Read More]
Investing is one of the few areas of life where you can do better by working and stressing less. Research has shown that the more frequently you check your investments, the worse it will seem that they are performing. This is known as “myopic loss aversion”. In effect, over vigilance [Read More]
Anyone can see the road that they walk on is paved in gold, and its always summer they’ll never get cold, they’ll never get hungry, they’ll never get old and grey. You can see their shadows wandering off somewhere, they won’t make it home, they really don’t care. They wanted [Read More]
In around June and July each year we see a raft of media commentary about investment returns for the year that has been, as well as the views and opinions of investment “gurus” for the year ahead. I can’t help reading these assessments and forecasts, but when I do I [Read More]
Markets can be noisy. How do you deal with this as an investor? One option is to take a position based on a single expert’s opinion. But experience shows that can be a hazardous occupation. Another idea is to look to the combined views of all market participants (basically free [Read More]
More often than not my client conversations begin with a series of questions regarding the many economic problems facing Australia and the world. Indeed there is no shortage of things to worry about in the current environment. There’s the known problems including the escalating confrontation in the Middle East (this one [Read More]
It is the dirty little secret of the investment world: most of the fund managers and stock brokers who are paid handsomely to pick stocks actually fail to beat the simple index. And yet the cult of the “star stock-picker” remains as strong as ever. Countless studies have cast doubt [Read More]
An important part of a winning investment strategy is regularly rebalancing the portfolio. Rebalancing is required because the market’s movements cause the value at risk of a portfolio to drift. And as the time horizon increases, it is likely that the allocation to the riskier (and higher expected returning) assets [Read More]
The ever optimistic Morgan Stanley team suggest the ASX 200 Index will go to 5750 (today we’re at around 4800) by June next year, while JP Morgan are more “glass half empty” with a forecast of 4600 by December. But interestingly, of all the investment banks, only JP Morgan expect [Read More]
We all know by now that the financial crisis that erupted in 2007 and the sovereign debt crisis that followed were the result of the developed world borrowing from the future to fund its current consumption. Essentially borrowing went on for far too long, and has resulted in a monumental [Read More]
Kris Vogelsong & Elton Doyle, Private Portfolio Managers It’s now the end of January and hundreds if not thousands of financial forecasts for 2012 have aired in every corner of the media. Each December through January this annual prediction season sees economists, money managers and market commentators share their annual [Read More]
It is an interesting predicament we find ourselves in today. On one hand our economy is the envy of the developed world, our sovereign debt is low, our interest rates are on hold, unemployment sits at an impressive 5%, real household incomes are rising, and we are in the midst [Read More]